23, No. 1, July 3, 2003
Colder June temperatures could signal
a colder, wetter summer
State Water Survey
"June is often a harbinger for the rest of the summer in Illinois,”
said State Climatologist Jim Angel of the Illinois
State Water Survey. “Historical records indicate that July
and August are more likely to be colder and wetter than normal statewide
if June is colder than normal. We just had the 11th coldest June since
1895." says State Climatologist Jim Angel of the Illinois State
Water Survey, a division of the Illinois Department of Natural Resources.
"June temperatures averaged 67.9 degrees across Illinois, 4 degrees
below normal, compared to the coldest June in 1903, with average temperatures
of 65.8 degrees, 6.1 degrees below normal," Angel said.
Based on preliminary data, Streamwood covered the range in temperatures
for the state from a low of 34 degrees on June 1 to a high of 97 degrees
on June 25. Three other sites also had highs of 97 degrees: Moline on
June 24, and Normal and Grand Tower on June 26.
June precipitation averaged 4.31 inches, 0.23 inches above normal (106
percent of normal). Soil moisture is still in good shape for crops across
most of the state. In fact, southern Illinois has had to deal with excessive
soil moisture due to above normal rainfall in April, May and June.
"The only areas with significantly below normal precipitation were
in northwestern and northeastern Illinois with 67 and 52 percent of
normal, respectively. However, spring rainfall has minimized the impacts
of a dry June on crops there so far," Angel said.
Severe weather – defined as tornadoes, hail or damaging winds
– occurred on June 10, 11, 14, 18, 25, 28 and 29. Despite 13 reported
tornadoes (three on June 10 in St. Clair, DeKalb and Marion Counties;
five on June 11 in Sangamon and Logan Counties; and five others on June
14 in Carroll and Stephenson Counties), no deaths or serious injuries
Other than planting delays in southern Illinois, the growing season
is off to a good start. Illinois had 541 growing degree-days (GDDs)
in June, 82 percent of average.
The National Weather Service (NWS) is calling for an increased likelihood
of a cool, wet July. "With both the historical analysis and the
NWS forecast in agreement, the only area of concern at this point is
southern Illinois where already late crops may be slow to develop,"